Elo-Disentangled Player-Style Embeddings for Human Chess via Rating-Conditioned Residual Move Model
arXiv:2606.25176v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study representation learning for individual human chess style: a per-player embedding learned from a player's move history such that inner products measure stylistic similarity, while being approximately disentangled from playing strength (Elo). Our key design is a residual formulation: a rating-conditioned base move model (Maia-3 policy logits plus Stockfish-derived features, scored over Maia-2-proposed candidates) captures what a typical player of a given strength would play, and a frozen copy of it anchors a learned move encoder and a per-player vector z, so that z explains only deviations from rating-typical play. The base model improves move prediction over the strong Maia-3 policy by 27-37% relative NLL across the rating spectrum, with the largest gains at the top (2800+); Stockfish's marginal value grows monotonically with Elo (negligible at 900-1200, +0.085 nats at 2800+). On a shared Elo-stratified benchmark of 22,620 held-out decisions, top-1 move-matching rises monotonically from Maia-2 to Maia-3 to the Stockfish-augmented base (0.51 -> 0.57 -> 0.68): the base is +33% relative top-1 over Maia-2 and +19% over Maia-3 (30% lower NLL), with the engine-feature lift largest at high Elo. The player embedding adds little to raw move-matching on top of this base – its marginal top-1 gain falls within the 95% confidence interval – and its value is instead representational: z generalizes to held-out decisions without overfitting, re-identifies players from disjoint games above chance, and a linear probe recovers rating from z with only R^2 = 0.06 (no better nonlinearly), evidence it captures style on an Elo-orthogonal axis. We argue that a strong rating-conditioned base plus a compact, Elo-disentangled embedding – separating typical play from individual deviation – is an economical, interpretable model of individual style, an alternative to per-player preference fine-tuning.